Elon
W-L: (14-18) PR = 94.8866Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1105 A BELAB 99-51 1108 A UNCG SO U (14-20, 94.5) 92-90 1112 H Marshall SB M (19-13, 95.6) 89-96 1115 A Gardner-Webb BSO ( 5-29, 92.9) 95-84 1120 H Miami (Fl) ACC (26- 9, 98.0) 72-99 1124 A App State SB A (19-14, 95.5) 88-53 1129 H Mercer SO M (19-13, 95.2) 84-91 1203 H Furman SO F (23-13, 95.4) 88-97 1206 A Wofford SO W (19-13, 95.0) 73-52 1213 A No Illinois MA ( 9-21, 94.2) 85-79 1217 A Richmond A10 (15-17, 95.5) 73-70 1220 H Va Tech ACC (19-13, 97.4) 81-82 1222 A GREEN 97-63 1229 A Northeastern CA ( 7-24, 94.1) **-91 1231 H Charlotte AME (39-26, 95.9) 81-85 108 A NC A&T CA (11-19, 94.3) 69-64 110 A Campbell CA (15-19, 95.3) 83-82 115 H Northeastern CA ( 7-24, 94.1) 78-85 117 A Hofstra CA (24-11, 96.1) 89-85 122 H Towson CA (19-15, 95.5) 59-72 124 H Charlotte AME (39-26, 95.9) 70-80 129 A Will&Mary CA (21-12, 95.7) 79-76 131 H Stony Brook CA (17-15, 95.0) 68-72 205 H Hampton CA (14-19, 94.5) 79-87 207 H Drexel CA (17-16, 95.1) 77-82 212 H UNC-Wilm CA (27- 7, 96.3) 54-65 214 A Will&Mary CA (21-12, 95.7) 81-78 221 H NC A&T CA (11-19, 94.3) 82-** 226 H Towson CA (19-15, 95.5) 56-58 228 H Monmouth CA (19-15, 95.3) 57-73 303 H UNC-Wilm CA (27- 7, 96.3) 57-76 307 H Will&Mary CA (21-12, 95.7) 62-72
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1108 A UNCG 92-90 2 0 1.64
1112 H Marshall 89-96 -7 -1 -1.26
1115 A Gardner-Webb 95-84 11 2 0.00
1120 H Miami (Fl) 72-99 -27 -3 0.00
1124 A App State 88-53 35 -1 + 2.59
1129 H Mercer 84-91 -7 0 -1.70
1203 H Furman 88-97 -9 0 -1.53
1206 A Wofford 73-52 21 0 + 2.14
1213 A No Illinois 85-79 6 1 1.29
1217 A Richmond 73-70 3 -1 + 2.64
1220 H Va Tech 81-82 -1 -2 1.00
1229 A Northeastern **-91 12 1 1.23
1231 H Charlotte 81-85 -4 -1 -0.99
108 A NC A&T 69-64 5 1 1.47
110 A Campbell 83-82 1 0 1.47
115 H Northeastern 78-85 -7 1 - -2.79
117 A Hofstra 89-85 4 -1 + 3.24
122 H Towson 59-72 -13 -1 -1.41
124 H Charlotte 70-80 -10 -1 -0.99
129 A Will&Mary 79-76 3 -1 + 2.79
131 H Stony Brook 68-72 -4 0 -1.88
205 H Hampton 79-87 -8 0 - -2.40
207 H Drexel 77-82 -5 0 -1.83
212 H UNC-Wilm 54-65 -11 -1 -0.61
214 A Will&Mary 81-78 3 -1 + 2.79
221 H NC A&T 82-** -20 1 - -2.55
226 H Towson 56-58 -2 -1 -1.41
228 H Monmouth 57-73 -16 0 -1.58
303 H UNC-Wilm 57-76 -19 -1 -0.61
307 H Will&Mary 62-72 -10 -1 -1.23
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 115 H Northeastern 78-85 -7 1 - -2.79 205 H Hampton 79-87 -8 0 - -2.40 221 H NC A&T 82-** -20 1 - -2.55 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1124 A App State 88-53 35 -1 + 2.59 1206 A Wofford 73-52 21 0 + 2.14 1217 A Richmond 73-70 3 -1 + 2.64 117 A Hofstra 89-85 4 -1 + 3.24 129 A Will&Mary 79-76 3 -1 + 2.79 214 A Will&Mary 81-78 3 -1 + 2.79 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A UNCG (14-20, 94.5) 92-90 -5.38 2.10 0.01 1.10 4.64
3 H Marshall (19-13, 95.6) 89-96 -4.26 3.22 -0.01 1.10 -2.35
3 A Gardner-Webb ( 5-29, 92.9) 95-84 -7.05 1.00 0.01 1.10 2.22
3 H Miami (Fl) (26- 9, 98.0) 72-99 -1.93 5.54 -0.01 1.10 -1.07
3 A App State (19-14, 95.5) 88-53 -4.44 3.04 0.01 1.10 6.71
3 H Mercer (19-13, 95.2) 84-91 -4.70 2.77 -0.01 1.10 -2.59
3 H Furman (23-13, 95.4) 88-97 -4.53 2.95 -0.01 1.10 -2.50
3 A Wofford (19-13, 95.0) 73-52 -4.89 2.59 0.01 1.10 5.72
3 A No Illinois ( 9-21, 94.2) 85-79 -5.73 1.75 0.01 1.10 3.87
3 A Richmond (15-17, 95.5) 73-70 -4.38 3.09 0.01 1.10 6.83
3 H Va Tech (19-13, 97.4) 81-82 -2.53 4.95 -0.01 1.10 -1.40
3 A Northeastern ( 7-24, 94.1) **-91 -5.79 1.68 0.01 1.10 3.73
3 H Charlotte (39-26, 95.9) 81-85 -4.00 3.48 -0.01 1.10 -2.20
3 A NC A&T (11-19, 94.3) 69-64 -5.56 1.92 0.01 1.10 4.25
3 A Campbell (15-19, 95.3) 83-82 -4.56 2.92 0.01 1.10 6.45
3 H Northeastern ( 7-24, 94.1) 78-85 -5.79 1.68 -0.01 1.10 -3.19
3 A Hofstra (24-11, 96.1) 89-85 -3.78 3.70 0.01 1.10 8.16
3 H Towson (19-15, 95.5) 59-72 -4.42 3.06 -0.01 1.10 -2.44
3 H Charlotte (39-26, 95.9) 70-80 -4.00 3.48 -0.01 1.10 -2.20
3 A Will&Mary (21-12, 95.7) 79-76 -4.23 3.25 0.01 1.10 7.17
3 H Stony Brook (17-15, 95.0) 68-72 -4.89 2.59 -0.01 1.10 -2.69
3 H Hampton (14-19, 94.5) 79-87 -5.40 2.08 -0.01 1.10 -2.98
3 H Drexel (17-16, 95.1) 77-82 -4.83 2.64 -0.01 1.10 -2.66
3 H UNC-Wilm (27- 7, 96.3) 54-65 -3.61 3.86 -0.01 1.10 -1.99
3 A Will&Mary (21-12, 95.7) 81-78 -4.23 3.25 0.01 1.10 7.17
3 H NC A&T (11-19, 94.3) 82-** -5.56 1.92 -0.01 1.10 -3.06
3 H Towson (19-15, 95.5) 56-58 -4.42 3.06 -0.01 1.10 -2.44
3 H Monmouth (19-15, 95.3) 57-73 -4.59 2.89 -0.01 1.10 -2.53
3 H UNC-Wilm (27- 7, 96.3) 57-76 -3.61 3.86 -0.01 1.10 -1.99
3 H Will&Mary (21-12, 95.7) 62-72 -4.23 3.25 -0.01 1.10 -2.33
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24.28
|
winning pts = 66.9082 losing points = -42.6237
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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